Now, the race might begin to shape up as post positions are drawn, and we can know where the contenders will be running from. With no shortage of contenders, post position may not be so critical for this Kentucky Derby, unless every horse wants to go for the lead, and run shoulder to shoulder throughout. I doubt that will be the case, when the gate opens, but, it would add an interesting twist to this Kentucky Derby.
I think it would make a great race to fully earn the consternation of speed handicappers, if no one wants the lead. I've always been amazed that the Kentucky Derby can be presented by handicappers as a "speed" affair anyway. Sure, your best contender will have "speed", but, it will need speed control, more than speed itself. That is the harder part. And, perhaps the most difficult lesson to teach a young horse, that does not come upon it with a natural talent for it.
All race horses have speed, the two part test of the Kentucky Derby is which horse, and horsemen, have done the best job of learning and teaching "speed control". They can all get the 1 and 1/4 mile distance, the question is "which one has the control to get it, better than the rest?"
Tomorrow, we can take a good hard look at this question, knowing who starts where. To begin our analysis, in earnest..... I might even bring Ernest in for consultation, so be prepared.
Also today, I am kicking in a copy of "ExactaMagic2" with every Ability-X Ratings - All - Tracks.
Yesterday, 4 Ability-X "Simple" picks won at Churchill Downs returning $50.60 to all of those that know, simplicity wins.
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